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Trigger
 
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| Well, I agree with TP here, there is too much uncertainty here to call, its going to be a close call. If the trough picks up Ike we will be affected. If the trough doesnt pick up Ike then TX gets Ike. Its one or the other. Either way I still see it as a very strong CAT 3 or a weak CAT 4. What gets me still is that yes the GFDL has been handling Ike well. And the GFS has Ike being picked by the trough on more model runs than not. The GFDL uses the GFS a bit in its run. So, that being said, it definitly bears watching. I hate not being for certain but 12 hours of timing either way will have a different impact. Hopefully things will pan out better tomorrow. We really need to see where Ike will be after it exits Cuba.
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Trigger
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Last Login: 12/2/2008 2:09:01 PM
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| Check out this weather site
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Grouper
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river rat (9/8/2008)
Check out this weather site
_______________________________________________________________________>))))))*> >)))))))))))*> >))))))))))*> >))))*> >))))*> >))))))))*> >)))*> ~12' Hobie Outback Yak - Eagle 245DS FF - Garmin 76S GPS~ ~Wicked Pam Flint, Mistress Of The Sea... "You Scallywags Best Watch Y'r Bootie"~ Blackwater Pirates - www.blackwaterliving.com 
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Grouper
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The last part is what i dont like!!!!!!!!!!  Cuban radar and visible satellite imagery indicates that Ike
continues moving westward or 270/12. Track guidance remains in
good agreement that Ike will soon turn west-northwest and track
along or just south of Cuba for the next 12 to 24 hours. This
requires a slight southward shift to the official track through 36
hours. Dynamical models are still forecasting a shortwave trough
to move over the eastern United States in a couple of days
resulting in some weakening of the ridge to the north of Ike.
This is expected to cause Ike to turn temporarily to the northwest
with a reduction in forward speed. All models forecast the
shortwave to bypass Ike to the north...and are now in much better
agreement that Ike will turn slightly westward in about 3 days.
This turn is reflected in the official forecast. However...much
uncertainty remains regarding the strength of the mid-level ridge
which builds in the wake of the exiting shortwave. Accordingly...it
is still much too soon to know what portions of the Gulf Coast
could be impacted by Ike.
________________________________________________________ A few pictures http://www.forumpictureprocessor.com/pictureprocessor/galleries/usergallery.asp?gallery=1238 
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Mingo
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Sailfish
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bring on the blue water baby!!
Team PrimeTime
Auburn Wakeboard Team
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Trigger
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All right folks, after a bit of a scare from Ike it truly seems that TX will get all it can handle from Ike. It looks like Corpus Christie or the ever loving hurricane town of Galveston will have to deal with Ike. Ike will restrengthen into a CAT 3 or possibly a weak CAT 4 for its impending TX landfall.
The shortwave of low pressure that will be transiting the US will be moving a bit too fast to have anything to do with Ike. It looks like High pressure has saved us once yet again.
Ike still bears watching as we all know mother nature has her way.
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